Pre-tourney Rankings
Oregon St.
Pac-12
2015-16
Overall
Predictive Rating+9.4#57
Expected Predictive Rating+11.3#42
Pace68.7#213
Improvement+0.6#159

Offense
Total Offense+4.6#69
First Shot+3.1#89
After Offensive Rebound+1.5#72
Layup/Dunks+3.8#40
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.9#279
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#153
Freethrows+0.7#128
Improvement-0.1#182

Defense
Total Defense+4.8#55
First Shot+4.5#51
After Offensive Rebounds+0.3#140
Layups/Dunks+1.9#97
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.5#27
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#197
Freethrows+0.5#132
Improvement+0.6#144
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.4% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 97.5% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 97.5% n/a n/a
Average Seed 8.3 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.1% n/a n/a
First Round97.4% n/a n/a
Second Round41.6% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen7.4% n/a n/a
Elite Eight2.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.5% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.1% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 8 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 17, 2015 101   Iona W 93-73 75%     1 - 0 +22.4 +8.4 +11.5
  Nov 19, 2015 277   @ Rice W 77-69 90%     2 - 0 +3.4 +1.6 +2.2
  Nov 21, 2015 104   @ UC Santa Barbara W 71-59 56%     3 - 0 +19.9 +8.7 +12.0
  Nov 24, 2015 52   Valparaiso L 57-63 60%     3 - 1 +0.9 -7.3 +8.0
  Dec 02, 2015 208   Loyola Marymount W 79-70 92%     4 - 1 +3.0 +3.6 -0.4
  Dec 05, 2015 141   Nevada W 66-62 84%     5 - 1 +2.8 -3.8 +6.5
  Dec 12, 2015 1   Kansas L 67-82 14%     5 - 2 +6.3 +4.1 +2.2
  Dec 18, 2015 268   Cal St. Fullerton W 82-69 92%     6 - 2 +6.5 +7.0 -0.2
  Dec 19, 2015 64   Tulsa W 76-71 54%     7 - 2 +13.4 +6.9 +6.5
  Dec 21, 2015 288   Quinnipiac W 82-61 96%     8 - 2 +9.9 -2.6 +9.6
  Jan 03, 2016 10   Oregon W 70-57 33%     9 - 2 1 - 0 +27.1 +8.7 +19.6
  Jan 06, 2016 89   Stanford L 72-78 72%     9 - 3 1 - 1 -2.6 +4.0 -6.8
  Jan 09, 2016 23   California W 77-71 41%     10 - 3 2 - 1 +17.8 +9.7 +8.0
  Jan 13, 2016 47   @ Colorado L 54-71 35%     10 - 4 2 - 2 -3.6 -11.0 +7.8
  Jan 17, 2016 26   @ Utah L 53-59 23%     10 - 5 2 - 3 +11.1 -0.6 +10.3
  Jan 20, 2016 63   UCLA L 73-82 64%     10 - 6 2 - 4 -3.4 -1.6 -1.5
  Jan 24, 2016 41   USC W 85-70 56%     11 - 6 3 - 4 +23.0 +4.1 +17.0
  Jan 28, 2016 86   @ Arizona St. L 68-86 50%     11 - 7 3 - 5 -8.5 -2.0 -6.1
  Jan 30, 2016 12   @ Arizona L 63-80 18%     11 - 8 3 - 6 +2.3 +0.2 +1.6
  Feb 04, 2016 26   Utah W 71-69 43%     12 - 8 4 - 6 +13.2 +12.8 +0.7
  Feb 06, 2016 47   Colorado W 60-56 57%     13 - 8 5 - 6 +11.6 -5.1 +16.9
  Feb 11, 2016 89   @ Stanford W 62-50 51%     14 - 8 6 - 6 +21.2 +1.8 +20.9
  Feb 13, 2016 23   @ California L 71-83 22%     14 - 9 6 - 7 +5.6 +4.1 +2.3
  Feb 20, 2016 10   @ Oregon L 81-91 16%     14 - 10 6 - 8 +9.9 +13.2 -3.0
  Feb 24, 2016 56   Washington W 82-81 60%     15 - 10 7 - 8 +7.8 +8.9 -1.1
  Feb 28, 2016 169   Washington St. W 69-49 88%     16 - 10 8 - 8 +16.5 -0.7 +18.6
  Mar 02, 2016 41   @ USC L 70-81 33%     16 - 11 8 - 9 +2.8 +3.6 -0.9
  Mar 05, 2016 63   @ UCLA W 86-82 42%     17 - 11 9 - 9 +15.4 +6.9 +8.1
  Mar 09, 2016 86   Arizona St. W 75-66 61%     18 - 11 +15.6 +3.9 +11.5
  Mar 10, 2016 23   California L 68-76 30%     18 - 12 +6.7 +2.9 +4.0
Projected Record 18.0 - 12.0 9.0 - 9.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Pac-12 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 100.0 100.0 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Pac-12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 100.0% 97.5% 97.5% 8.3 0.4 15.4 44.7 30.7 6.2 0.2 2.5 97.5%
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 97.5% 0.0% 97.5% 8.3 0.4 15.4 44.7 30.7 6.2 0.2 2.5 97.5%